AMCR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMCR - Amcor plc Ordinary Shares
$45.00
1.36 (3.12%)
▲
5d:
+4.99%
30d:
+17.16%
90d:
+10.57%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AMCR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AMCR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.08
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.45
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMCR is currently trading at $45.00, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.30 to $42.43. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.5) is in line with its historical norms (10.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMCR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $45.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: AMCR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMCR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $45.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: AMCR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$38.30 -
$42.43
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
Protect Your Profits
AMCR is technically overbought (RSI 74). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.1% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($48.21)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.8% growth with 77.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.30 -
$42.43
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$40.08
Resistance Level
$45.03
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.50
Wall Street Target
$48.21
(+7.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
77.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-11.7%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
10.5 vs 10.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$45.81
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$46.63
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$47.47
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$45.23
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.8%)
$117.11
(+160%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.5, Growth: 7.8%)
$56.44
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: 7.8%)
$47.97
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.24
Bull Case
$96.01
(+113%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 38.7
Base Case
$87.28
(+94%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 35.2
Bear Case
$29.68
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 5:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:28 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMCR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Thomas H. Kean, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-31
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-10
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-17
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