AMCX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMCX - AMC Networks Inc. Class A
$8.31
-0.08 (-0.95%)
▼
5d:
-2.92%
30d:
+3.23%
90d:
+13.37%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 08, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AMCX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AMCX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.37
Based on -8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.71
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMCX is currently trading at $8.31, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.79 to $8.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 5.6) compared to its historical average (4.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMCX is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.66, while resistance sits at $9.20.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMCX is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.66, while resistance sits at $9.20.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$7.79 -
$8.66
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
64.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($7.50)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.8% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.79 -
$8.66
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.66
Resistance Level
$9.20
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.60
Wall Street Target
$7.50
(-9.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
82.2%
Profit Margin
2.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.8% premium
PE vs Historical
5.6 vs 4.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.79
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$9.30
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$9.84
(+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→5)
PE COMPRESSION
$8.26
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: -21.0%)
$23.85
(+187%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.6, Growth: -21.0%)
$6.06
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.7, Growth: -21.0%)
$5.09
(-39%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.89
Bull Case
$15.40
(+85%)
Analyst growth 66.8%, PE expands to 10.4
Base Case
$14.00
(+68%)
Market implied 66.8%, PE stable at 9.4
Bear Case
$5.71
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 6:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMCX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael J Sherin III
SELL
5963 shares
2026-03-10
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