AMPL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMPL - Amplitude, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$6.06
-0.07 (-1.14%)
▼
5d:
-5.16%
30d:
-10.75%
90d:
-4.42%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AMPL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AMPL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMPL is currently trading at $6.06, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.10 to $7.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 44.8) compared to its historical average (61.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.63, while resistance sits at $8.28.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.65 (+75.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.63, while resistance sits at $8.28.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.65 (+75.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$6.10 -
$7.35
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 75.7% below Wall St target ($10.65)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.2% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.10 -
$7.35
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.64
Resistance Level
$8.28
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
44.76
Wall Street Target
$10.65
(+75.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.9%
Profit Margin
-25.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
44.8 vs 61.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.45
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$4.91
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$4.42
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 45→62)
$6.11
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 44.8, Growth: 168.1%)
$20.45
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 168.1%)
$10.09
(+66%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 168.1%)
$8.57
(+42%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 44.8 to 61.9
Stabilization Target:
$8.38
(+38.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+38.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 8:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:00 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMPL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
100 shares
2025-12-26
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SELL
42743 shares
2025-12-24
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10000 shares
2025-12-15
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