AMRZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMRZ - Amrize Ltd
$49.64
0.63 (1.29%)
▲
5d:
-4.61%
30d:
-13.97%
90d:
-13.5%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AMRZ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AMRZ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$92.27
Based on 10.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.29
13.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMRZ is currently trading at $49.64, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.03 to $58.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.9) compared to its historical average (18.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMRZ is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $48.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AMRZ has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $65.00 (+30.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMRZ is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $48.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AMRZ has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $65.00 (+30.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$52.03 -
$58.29
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AMRZ? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.9% below Wall St target ($65.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$52.03 -
$58.29
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$48.82
Resistance Level
$55.44
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.87
Wall Street Target
$65.00
(+30.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Profit Margin
9.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.9 vs 18.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.36
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$45.18
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$43.10
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→18)
$49.71
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 16.2%)
$108.42
(+118%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.9, Growth: 16.2%)
$77.84
(+57%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.5, Growth: 16.2%)
$66.17
(+33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.09
Bull Case
$80.70
(+63%)
Analyst growth 49.7%, PE expands to 25.8
Base Case
$73.36
(+48%)
Market implied 49.7%, PE stable at 23.5
Bear Case
$33.33
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.9 to 18.3
Stabilization Target:
$57.25
(+15.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 9:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMRZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
8
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Roald Brouwer
BUY
2000 shares
2026-03-13
Mario Gross
BUY
3200 shares
2026-03-13
Jaime Hill
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-11
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