AMTM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMTM - Amentum Holdings, Inc.
$22.98
-0.27 (-1.16%)
▼
5d:
-6.32%
30d:
-16.44%
90d:
-25.87%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
AMTM is down 6.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $30 2026-07-17 with 7,853 OI. Call ratio: 87% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.8/10
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3 traders called AMTM this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AMTM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AMTM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.50
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.87
20.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMTM is currently trading at $22.98, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.46 to $27.41. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.3) compared to its historical average (10.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1236.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMTM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.55 (+59.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMTM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.55 (+59.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$24.46 -
$27.41
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AMTM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 59.0% below Wall St target ($36.55)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.3% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.46 -
$27.41
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.60
Resistance Level
$26.38
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.34
Wall Street Target
$36.55
(+59.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1236.6%
Profit Margin
1.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.3 vs 10.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.00
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$19.20
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$17.55
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→11)
$22.93
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 14.4%)
$91.09
(+296%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: 14.4%)
$34.43
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: 14.4%)
$29.26
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.60
Bull Case
$51.15
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 42.6
Base Case
$46.50
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 38.8
Bear Case
$15.81
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.3 to 10.9
Stabilization Target:
$30.03
(+30.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+30.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 6:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMTM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AMTM price and gamma walls.
