AMWD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMWD - American Woodmark Corp
$48.09
5.52 (12.97%)
▲
5d:
+40.45%
30d:
+6.18%
90d:
-7.45%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: AMWD is 16.0% above its trading range ($41.47). Market expects 8.3% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: AMWD is 16.0% above its trading range ($41.47). Market expects 8.3% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.30
Based on -9.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.84
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMWD is currently trading at $48.09, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.39 to $41.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 25.7) compared to its historical average (20.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMWD is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $48.33. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 13.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: AMWD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.00 (+14.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMWD is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $48.33. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 13.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: AMWD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.00 (+14.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$34.39 -
$41.47
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+16.0% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+13.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($55.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.3% growth with -18.4% revenue growth
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to 16.0% overvaluation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$34.39 -
$41.47
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.29
Resistance Level
$48.33
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.72
Wall Street Target
$55.00
(+14.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-18.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-76.6%
Profit Margin
1.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.3% premium
PE vs Historical
25.7 vs 20.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.08
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$56.40
(+17%)
3-Year Target
$61.09
(+27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$47.98
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.7, Growth: -23.0%)
$35.06
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: -23.0%)
$29.98
(-38%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: -23.0%)
$25.48
(-47%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 15, 2026 5:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:16 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMWD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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