AMX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMX - America Movil S.A.B de C.V American Depositary Shares (each representing the right to receive twenty (20) Series B Shares)
$25.72
0.11 (0.43%)
▲
5d:
-2.21%
30d:
+0.04%
90d:
+0.74%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AMX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AMX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.32
Based on 7.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.79
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMX is currently trading at $25.72, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.28 to $26.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.2) is in line with its historical norms (12.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 25.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $25.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AMX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.10 (+13.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $25.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AMX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.10 (+13.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$25.28 -
$26.75
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($29.10)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.28 -
$26.75
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.40
Resistance Level
$26.87
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.24
Wall Street Target
$29.10
(+13.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.8%
Profit Margin
9.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 12.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.44
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$25.16
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$24.88
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$25.62
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.4%)
$63.29
(+146%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 11.4%)
$35.56
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 11.4%)
$30.22
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.65
Bull Case
$35.89
(+40%)
Analyst growth 27.4%, PE expands to 17.1
Base Case
$32.62
(+27%)
Market implied 27.4%, PE stable at 15.5
Bear Case
$17.41
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.2 to 12.6
Stabilization Target:
$26.48
(+3.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 7:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:23 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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