AN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AN - AutoNation, Inc.
$189.73
-0.99 (-0.52%)
▼
5d:
+0.44%
30d:
+0.85%
90d:
-3.6%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 24, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$322.41
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$200.19
5.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AN is currently trading at $189.73, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $187.00 to $193.21. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.8) is in line with its historical norms (8.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 31.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $182.09, while resistance sits at $196.61.
Market Sentiment: AN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $242.75 (+27.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $182.09, while resistance sits at $196.61.
Market Sentiment: AN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $242.75 (+27.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$187.00 -
$193.21
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.3% below Wall St target ($242.75)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$187.00 -
$193.21
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$182.09
Resistance Level
$196.61
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 7, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.84
Wall Street Target
$242.75
(+27.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
31.5%
Profit Margin
2.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.8 vs 8.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$184.24
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$177.97
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$171.92
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$190.67
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.7%)
$777.71
(+308%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.8, Growth: 13.7%)
$280.11
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: 13.7%)
$238.09
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $18.44
Bull Case
$270.35
(+42%)
Analyst growth 31.8%, PE expands to 11.1
Base Case
$245.78
(+29%)
Market implied 31.8%, PE stable at 10.1
Bear Case
$126.76
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.8 to 8.7
Stabilization Target:
$211.52
(+10.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 07, 2026 2:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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