AN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AN - AutoNation, Inc.
$191.68
0.96 (0.50%)
▲
5d:
+1.48%
30d:
+1.88%
90d:
-2.61%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 24, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$322.41
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$200.19
4.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AN is currently trading at $191.68, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $187.14 to $193.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.9) is in line with its historical norms (8.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 31.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AN is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $196.61. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $242.75 (+26.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AN is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $196.61. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $242.75 (+26.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$187.14 -
$193.42
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.6% below Wall St target ($242.75)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$187.14 -
$193.42
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$182.09
Resistance Level
$196.61
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 7, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.88
Wall Street Target
$242.75
(+26.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
31.5%
Profit Margin
2.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 8.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$185.55
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$179.61
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$173.86
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$191.86
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.7%)
$777.71
(+306%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: 13.7%)
$281.52
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: 13.7%)
$239.29
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $18.44
Bull Case
$276.60
(+44%)
Analyst growth 31.8%, PE expands to 11.4
Base Case
$251.46
(+31%)
Market implied 31.8%, PE stable at 10.3
Bear Case
$129.69
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.9 to 8.7
Stabilization Target:
$211.52
(+10.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 08, 2026 7:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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