APTV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APTV - Aptiv PLC
$75.75
-3.08 (-3.91%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 02, 2026
2d
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1 traders called APTV this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: APTV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: APTV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$107.86
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$66.97
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APTV is currently trading at $75.75, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $75.89 to $83.63. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.3) is in line with its historical norms (9.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APTV is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $74.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.81 (+29.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APTV is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $74.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.81 (+29.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$75.89 -
$83.63
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 29.2% below Wall St target ($101.81)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$75.89 -
$83.63
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$74.62
Resistance Level
$83.01
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.28
Wall Street Target
$101.81
(+29.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-48.1%
Profit Margin
1.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.3 vs 9.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$78.67
(0%)
2-Year Target
$78.51
(0%)
3-Year Target
$78.36
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
$78.49
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 8.9%)
$244.30
(+210%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.3, Growth: 8.9%)
$101.71
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.9, Growth: 8.9%)
$86.46
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 8.90 | Forward EPS (Implied): $8.86
Bull Case
$95.19
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 9.3
Base Case
$78.83
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 8.9
Bear Case
$60.30
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 8.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.3 to 9.3
Stabilization Target:
$78.96
(+0.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.2%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APTV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Allan J Brazier
SELL
1000 shares
2025-09-18
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