HSAI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HSAI - Hesai Group American Depositary Share, each ADS represents one Class B ordinary share
$17.19
-1.04 (-5.70%)
▼
5d:
+14.45%
30d:
-20.64%
90d:
-16.15%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HSAI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 12.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HSAI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 12.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.25
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.20
44.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HSAI is currently trading at $17.19, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.28 to $20.04. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.8) compared to its historical average (4.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HSAI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.86. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.34 (+76.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HSAI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.86. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.34 (+76.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$16.28 -
$20.04
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 76.5% below Wall St target ($30.34)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.28 -
$20.04
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.86
Resistance Level
$22.53
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.80
Wall Street Target
$30.34
(+76.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
29.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-13.9%
Profit Margin
14.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.8 vs 4.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.47
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$13.92
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$12.53
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 3→4)
$18.81
(+9%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 56.4%)
$451.61
(+2527%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.8, Growth: 56.4%)
$58.02
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.4, Growth: 56.4%)
$49.31
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (3x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.47
Bull Case
$40.11
(+133%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 42.7
Base Case
$36.46
(+112%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 38.8
Bear Case
$12.40
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.8 to 4.2
Stabilization Target:
$25.80
(+50.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+50.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 2:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HSAI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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