ARCB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ARCB - ArcBest Corporation
$139.67
-0.15 (-0.11%)
▼
5d:
-6.9%
30d:
-1.54%
90d:
+40.15%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ARCB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ARCB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$263.64
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$163.70
14.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ARCB is currently trading at $139.67, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $136.62 to $161.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.1) is in line with its historical norms (15.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARCB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $137.39. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $157.73 (+12.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARCB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $137.39. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $157.73 (+12.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$136.62 -
$161.42
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($157.73)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.1% growth with 3.3% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.9% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$136.62 -
$161.42
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$137.39
Resistance Level
$153.87
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.09
Wall Street Target
$157.73
(+12.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-59.3%
Profit Margin
1.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
16.1 vs 15.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$141.21
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$142.76
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$144.33
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$139.90
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 43.8%)
$561.67
(+302%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.1, Growth: 43.8%)
$415.04
(+197%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.7, Growth: 43.8%)
$352.78
(+153%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 19.96 | Forward EPS (Implied): $7.00
Bull Case
$168.65
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 21.0
Base Case
$139.67
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 20.0
Bear Case
$106.85
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 18.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 2:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ARCB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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