ARHS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ARHS - Arhaus, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$5.75
-0.13 (-2.21%)
βΌ
5d:
-11.61%
30d:
-21.88%
90d:
-37.84%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
βΈοΈ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ARHS is down 11.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
βΈοΈ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ARHS is down 11.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.84
Based on 10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.21
37.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ARHS is currently trading at $5.75, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.34 to $7.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.4) compared to its historical average (16.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARHS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.94 (+55.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARHS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.94 (+55.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$6.34 -
$7.67
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 55.5% below Wall St target ($8.94)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.6% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.34 -
$7.67
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.63
Resistance Level
$7.63
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.38
Wall Street Target
$8.94
(+55.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-47.4%
Profit Margin
4.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 16.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.18
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$4.66
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$4.19
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10β17)
$6.74
(+17%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 16.0%)
$19.09
(+232%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 16.0%)
$8.98
(+56%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: 16.0%)
$7.63
(+33%)
π
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.47
Bull Case
$7.59
(+32%)
Analyst growth 17.8%, PE expands to 13.7
Base Case
$6.90
(+20%)
Market implied 17.8%, PE stable at 12.5
Bear Case
$3.98
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
π‘
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.4 to 16.7
Stabilization Target:
$9.25
(+60.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+60.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 12:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:21 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ARHS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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