ASH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASH - Ashland Inc.
$56.15
-0.35 (-0.62%)
▼
5d:
+3.1%
30d:
+0.86%
90d:
-8.0%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ASH shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ASH shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$96.17
Based on 12.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$59.72
6.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASH is currently trading at $56.15, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.35 to $57.57. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.8) is in line with its historical norms (12.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASH is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $57.82. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ASH has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.18 (+14.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASH is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $57.82. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ASH has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.18 (+14.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$53.35 -
$57.57
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($64.18)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.1% growth with 0.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$53.35 -
$57.57
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$50.93
Resistance Level
$57.82
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.81
Wall Street Target
$64.18
(+14.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-47.5%
Profit Margin
-39.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
12.8 vs 12.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$56.77
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$57.39
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$58.02
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$56.14
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 20.5%)
$169.01
(+201%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.8, Growth: 20.5%)
$98.27
(+75%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.9, Growth: 20.5%)
$83.53
(+49%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 7:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:44 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:44 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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