ASIC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASIC - Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings
$25.42
1.05 (4.31%)
▲
5d:
+18.67%
30d:
+28.32%
90d:
+30.49%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: ASIC is 10.8% above its trading range ($22.94). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: ASIC is 10.8% above its trading range ($22.94). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.44
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.49
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASIC is currently trading at $25.42, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.59 to $22.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.2) compared to its historical average (8.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASIC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: ASIC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASIC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: ASIC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$19.59 -
$22.94
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+10.8% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.3%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($26.60)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 8.0% growth expectation is conservative given 155% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.59 -
$22.94
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.83
Resistance Level
$25.63
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.17
Wall Street Target
$26.60
(+4.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
55.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
155.0%
Profit Margin
19.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.0% premium
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 8.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.45
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$29.65
(+17%)
3-Year Target
$32.02
(+26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.51
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 25.4%)
$107.33
(+322%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: 25.4%)
$50.10
(+97%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.1, Growth: 25.4%)
$39.92
(+57%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.92
Bull Case
$34.91
(+37%)
Analyst growth 30.2%, PE expands to 14.0
Base Case
$31.73
(+25%)
Market implied 30.2%, PE stable at 12.7
Bear Case
$16.57
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 6:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASIC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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