ASTL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ASTL - Algoma Steel Group Inc. Common Shares

Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens)
$5.22
0.01 (0.19%) ▲
5d: +1.56%
30d: +10.13%
90d: +12.5%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ASTL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0% growth. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ASTL is currently trading at $5.22, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.53 to $5.05. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: -2.0) compared to its historical average (15.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ASTL is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.65, while resistance sits at $5.44.

Market Sentiment: ASTL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.00 (+283.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $4.53 - $5.05
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 61.9%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 283.9% below Wall St target ($20.00)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $4.53 - $5.05
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $4.65
Resistance Level $5.44
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of May 18, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) -1.98
Wall Street Target $20.00 (+283.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -42.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -93.0%
Profit Margin -60.0%
PE vs Historical -2.0 vs 15.7 CHEAP
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Last updated: May 18, 2026 4:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced ASTL Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ASTL price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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