ATMU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ATMU - Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc.

MOTOR VEHICLE PARTS & ACCESSORIES
$57.97
0.01 (0.02%) ▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 20, 2026 19d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ATMU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$72.22
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$44.84
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ATMU is currently trading at $57.97, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.04 to $56.61. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.3) is in line with its historical norms (18.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ATMU is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $58.18. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: ATMU has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range $53.04 - $56.61
Company Quality Score 65/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 72.4%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($60.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $53.04 - $56.61
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $55.29
Resistance Level $58.18
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.32
Wall Street Target $60.00 (+3.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 26.9%
Profit Margin 11.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.6% premium
PE vs Historical 20.3 vs 18.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $59.47 (+3%)
2-Year Target $61.01 (+5%)
3-Year Target $62.60 (+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→19) PE COMPRESSION $57.90 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 8.3%) $80.86 (+40%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.3, Growth: 8.3%) $73.69 (+27%)
Bear: (PE: 17.3, Growth: 8.3%) $62.64 (+8%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.39
Bull Case $74.47 (+29%)
Analyst growth 19.3%, PE expands to 26.1
Base Case $67.70 (+17%)
Market implied 19.3%, PE stable at 23.7
Bear Case $38.58 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 3:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:48 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced ATMU Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ATMU price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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