ATRO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ATRO - Astronics Corp
$70.83
-5.23 (-6.88%)
▼
5d:
-18.73%
30d:
-17.26%
90d:
+0.16%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ATRO is down 18.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ATRO is down 18.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$102.85
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.86
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ATRO is currently trading at $70.83, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.93 to $88.79. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.2) is in line with its historical norms (25.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATRO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $70.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATRO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $70.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$79.93 -
$88.79
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.9%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($76.15)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -18.7% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$79.93 -
$88.79
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.20
Resistance Level
$88.72
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.20
Wall Street Target
$76.15
(+7.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
154.2%
Profit Margin
5.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
27.2 vs 25.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$72.25
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$73.69
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$75.17
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$71.02
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.2, Growth: 15.3%)
$108.62
(+53%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 15.3%)
$86.98
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 15.3%)
$73.93
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 27.17 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.61
Bull Case
$85.53
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 28.5
Base Case
$70.83
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 27.2
Bear Case
$54.18
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 24.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 9:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ATRO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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