ATRO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ATRO - Astronics Corp
$78.59
-4.12 (-4.98%)
▼
5d:
+4.68%
30d:
+5.0%
90d:
+2.14%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
ATRO is up 4.7% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $75 2026-06-18 with 323 OI. Put ratio: 60% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ATRO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ATRO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$130.09
Based on 10.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$80.77
2.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ATRO is currently trading at $78.59, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $71.45 to $77.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.7) is in line with its historical norms (24.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 154.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATRO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $70.33, while resistance sits at $83.54. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: ATRO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $88.38 (+12.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATRO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $70.33, while resistance sits at $83.54. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: ATRO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $88.38 (+12.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$71.45 -
$77.05
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ATRO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($88.38)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$71.45 -
$77.05
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.33
Resistance Level
$83.54
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.68
Wall Street Target
$88.38
(+12.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
154.3%
Profit Margin
5.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.7 vs 24.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$78.35
(0%)
2-Year Target
$78.12
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$77.88
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→25)
$78.59
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.7, Growth: 17.0%)
$125.72
(+60%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 17.0%)
$112.45
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 17.0%)
$95.58
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 27.17 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.89
Bull Case
$94.90
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 28.5
Base Case
$78.59
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 27.2
Bear Case
$60.12
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 24.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.7 to 24.9
Stabilization Target:
$79.31
(+0.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 6:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ATRO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ATRO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ATRO price and gamma walls.
