AUGO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AUGO - Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares
$75.36
-1.06 (-1.39%)
▼
5d:
-7.03%
30d:
-30.95%
90d:
+12.21%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AUGO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AUGO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$336.58
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$208.99
63.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AUGO is currently trading at $75.36, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.71 to $100.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.6) compared to its historical average (12.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 23.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AUGO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $74.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AUGO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.34 (+32.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AUGO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $74.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AUGO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.34 (+32.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$80.71 -
$100.64
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.6% below Wall St target ($101.34)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.0%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$80.71 -
$100.64
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$74.00
Resistance Level
$92.89
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.62
Wall Street Target
$101.34
(+32.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
87.5%
Profit Margin
-8.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-23.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.6 vs 12.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-23.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$68.78
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$61.90
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$55.71
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→13)
$126.00
(+65%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 29.9%)
$659.13
(+763%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.6, Growth: 29.9%)
$167.70
(+119%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.8, Growth: 29.9%)
$142.55
(+87%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 8.85 | Forward EPS (Implied): $8.64
Bull Case
$92.28
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 9.3
Base Case
$76.42
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 8.9
Bear Case
$58.46
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 8.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.6 to 12.7
Stabilization Target:
$172.84
(+126.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+126.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 3:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:35 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is AUGO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Rodrigo Cardoso Barbosa
SELL
5000 shares
2026-03-20
Rodrigo Cardoso Barbosa
SELL
10000 shares
2026-03-19
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