AUGO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AUGO - Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares
$65.46
4.96 (8.20%)
▲
5d:
+7.08%
30d:
-3.79%
90d:
-25.09%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AUGO trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -24.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AUGO trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -24.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$299.16
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$185.76
64.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AUGO is currently trading at $65.46, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $58.55 to $70.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.6) compared to its historical average (10.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 24.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AUGO is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $67.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: AUGO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $105.54 (+61.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AUGO is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $67.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: AUGO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $105.54 (+61.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$58.55 -
$70.73
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+8.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 61.2% below Wall St target ($105.54)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$58.55 -
$70.73
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$56.95
Resistance Level
$67.02
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.64
Wall Street Target
$105.54
(+61.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
136.5%
Profit Margin
7.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-24.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.6 vs 10.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-24.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$58.91
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$53.02
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$47.72
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→11)
$111.99
(+71%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 84.0%)
$1036.02
(+1483%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.6, Growth: 84.0%)
$220.93
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.9, Growth: 84.0%)
$187.79
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 3.81 | Forward EPS (Implied): $17.16
Bull Case
$79.04
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 4.0
Base Case
$65.46
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 3.8
Bear Case
$50.08
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 3.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.6 to 10.9
Stabilization Target:
$153.63
(+134.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+134.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 10:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:33 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is AUGO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Rodrigo Cardoso Barbosa
SELL
5000 shares
2026-03-20
Rodrigo Cardoso Barbosa
SELL
10000 shares
2026-03-19
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