What is the analyst price target for AXL?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for AXL is $9.78. This implies a potential upside of 8.6% from current levels.

AXL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AXL - American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc.

MOTOR VEHICLE PARTS & ACCESSORIES

$9.00

0.78 (9.49%) ▲

5d: +11.94%

30d: +40.19%

90d: +41.29%

BUY

HIGH Confidence

Protect Your AXL Gains

Analysis Updated: Feb 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: May 01, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

AXL is down 3.7% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $9 2026-03-20 with 893 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →

Strength: 6.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AXL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$14.69

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$9.12

1.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AXL is currently trading at $9.00, which is considered fair based on recent price action. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.9) compared to its historical average (10.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.2% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AXL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 9.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: AXL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Company Quality Score 65/100 (BUY)

Volume Confirmation UNKNOWN

Confidence Score 81.9%

Protect Your Profits

AXL is technically overbought (RSI 76). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+9.5%)
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($9.78)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.2% growth with None% revenue growth

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $7.72

Resistance Level $9.00

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Feb 4, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.88

Wall Street Target $9.78 (+8.6%)

Earnings Growth (YoY) -12.5%

Profit Margin 0.7%

Valuation Premium vs History +6.2% premium

PE vs Historical 12.9 vs 10.8 STRETCHED

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +6.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $9.56 (+6%)

2-Year Target $10.15 (+13%)

3-Year Target $10.78 (+20%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→11) PE COMPRESSION $9.04 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 56.2%) $52.58 (+484%)

Base: (SPY PE: 12.9, Growth: 56.2%) $30.38 (+238%)

Bear: (PE: 10.8, Growth: 56.2%) $25.46 (+183%)

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Last updated: March 30, 2026 10:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:11 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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