AXON Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AXON - Axon Enterprise, Inc. Common Stock
$388.19
11.37 (3.02%)
▲
5d:
-9.07%
30d:
-3.48%
90d:
-10.93%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
0d
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4 traders called AXON this week
62% bullish • 3 bearish
62% bullish • 3 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AXON shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AXON shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$514.75
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$319.62
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AXON is currently trading at $388.19, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $374.60 to $410.00. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 36.7) compared to its historical average (57.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 89.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXON is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $366.00, while resistance sits at $438.97. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $662.04 (+70.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXON is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $366.00, while resistance sits at $438.97. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $662.04 (+70.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$374.60 -
$410.00
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AXON? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 70.5% below Wall St target ($662.04)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.1% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$374.60 -
$410.00
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$366.00
Resistance Level
$438.97
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
36.71
Wall Street Target
$662.04
(+70.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
33.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
89.8%
Profit Margin
6.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
36.7 vs 57.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$349.37
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$314.43
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$282.99
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→57)
$441.67
(+14%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 36.7, Growth: 37.5%)
$1009.51
(+160%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 37.5%)
$606.03
(+56%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 37.5%)
$515.13
(+33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (50x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (37x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 50.00 | Forward EPS (Implied): $7.76
Bull Case
$468.74
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 52.5
Base Case
$388.19
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 50.0
Bear Case
$296.97
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 45.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 36.7 to 57.3
Stabilization Target:
$605.86
(+56.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+56.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 9:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AXON showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
15
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jeri Williams
SELL
157 shares
2026-03-17
Erika Nardini
SELL
198 shares
2026-03-17
Jennifer H Mak
SELL
1500 shares
2026-03-02
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