AXTA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AXTA - Axalta Coating Systems Ltd.
$35.11
0.91 (2.66%)
▲
5d:
+1.09%
30d:
+15.57%
90d:
+26.93%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
24d
Get Alerted When AXTA Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AXTA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AXTA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.16
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.18
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AXTA is currently trading at $35.11, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.14 to $34.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.5) compared to its historical average (11.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXTA is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $35.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXTA is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $35.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$31.14 -
$34.42
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($36.21)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.0% growth with -0.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.14 -
$34.42
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.44
Resistance Level
$35.43
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.48
Wall Street Target
$36.21
(+3.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.7%
Profit Margin
7.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.0% premium
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 11.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.51
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$37.97
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$39.49
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$35.12
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.4%)
$78.07
(+122%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 8.4%)
$44.74
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 8.4%)
$38.03
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.71
Bull Case
$61.89
(+76%)
Analyst growth 64.5%, PE expands to 22.0
Base Case
$56.26
(+60%)
Market implied 64.5%, PE stable at 20.0
Bear Case
$23.26
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 10:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:58 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AXTA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-18
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-23
Top Rated Specialty Chemicals Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Specialty Chemicals by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
ECL
Ecolab Inc |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$317 | 64 BUY |
|
LIN
Linde plc Ordinary Shares |
BUY
28 analysts |
$546 | 62 BUY |
|
SHW
Sherwin-Williams Co |
BUY
28 analysts |
$374 | 60 BUY |
|
APD
Air Products and Chemica… |
BUY
24 analysts |
$328 | 65 BUY |
|
IFF
International Flavors & … |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$91 | 63 BUY |
