AZO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AZO - AutoZone, Inc.
$3328.77
12.06 (0.36%)
▲
5d:
-0.73%
30d:
-11.36%
90d:
-3.48%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Mar 03, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
AZO is down 3.9% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $3400 2026-06-18 with 67 OI. Call ratio: 69% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.8/10
Get Alerted When AZO Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AZO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AZO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6018.81
Based on 10.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3737.21
10.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AZO is currently trading at $3328.77, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3394.53 to $3758.68. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.0) is in line with its historical norms (20.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AZO is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3281.23. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AZO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4225.38 (+27.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AZO is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3281.23. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AZO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4225.38 (+27.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$3394.53 -
$3758.68
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.4% below Wall St target ($4225.38)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$3394.53 -
$3758.68
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$151.66
(4.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3281.23
Resistance Level
$3570.00
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.01
Wall Street Target
$4225.38
(+27.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-2.3%
Profit Margin
12.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.0 vs 20.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3217.21
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$3120.69
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$3027.07
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→21)
$3312.28
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 17.5%)
$6335.64
(+91%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.0, Growth: 17.5%)
$5376.52
(+62%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.2, Growth: 17.5%)
$4570.04
(+38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $142.81
Bull Case
$4412.05
(+32%)
Analyst growth 22.2%, PE expands to 25.3
Base Case
$4010.96
(+20%)
Market implied 22.2%, PE stable at 23.0
Bear Case
$2232.37
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.0 to 20.8
Stabilization Target:
$3629.21
(+9.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 10:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:21 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AZO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
6
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Markwayne Mullin
SELL
2026-02-25
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-24
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-01-30
Top Rated Auto Parts Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Auto Parts by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
ORLY
O’Reilly Automotive Inc |
STRONG BUY
28 analysts |
$106 | 62 BUY |
|
MBLY
Mobileye Global Inc. Cla… |
BUY
28 analysts |
$16 | 45 HOLD |
|
APTV
Aptiv PLC |
BUY
22 analysts |
$100 | 58 HOLD |
|
BWA
BorgWarner Inc |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$68 | 57 HOLD |
|
HSAI
Hesai Group Sponsored ADR |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$33 | 51 HOLD |
Advanced AZO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AZO price and gamma walls.
