BGSI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$97.25
1.44 (1.50%)
▲
5d:
-4.04%
30d:
-6.46%
90d:
-38.28%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When BGSI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BGSI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BGSI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$260.44
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$161.72
39.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BGSI is currently trading at $97.25, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $98.92 to $110.89. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.9) compared to its historical average (25.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 71.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BGSI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $93.59, while resistance sits at $107.01.
Market Sentiment: BGSI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $167.04 (+74.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BGSI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $93.59, while resistance sits at $107.01.
Market Sentiment: BGSI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $167.04 (+74.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$98.92 -
$110.89
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 74.3% below Wall St target ($167.04)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$98.92 -
$110.89
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$93.59
Resistance Level
$107.01
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.91
Wall Street Target
$167.04
(+74.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
71.4%
Profit Margin
0.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.9 vs 25.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$86.23
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$77.61
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$69.85
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→26)
$100.23
(+5%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 36.5%)
$298.13
(+211%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.9, Growth: 36.5%)
$243.58
(+154%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.2, Growth: 36.5%)
$207.04
(+116%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 24.63 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.89
Bull Case
$115.69
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 25.9
Base Case
$95.81
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 24.6
Bear Case
$73.29
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 22.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.9 to 25.7
Stabilization Target:
$137.49
(+43.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+43.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 15, 2026 2:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:56 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is BGSI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Auto & Truck Dealerships Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Auto & Truck Dealerships by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CVNA
Carvana Co |
BUY
24 analysts |
$92 | 55 HOLD |
|
LAD
Lithia Motors Inc |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$370 | 67 BUY |
|
MCW
Mister Car Wash, Inc. Co… |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$7 | 67 BUY |
|
ACVA
ACV Auctions Inc. |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$9 | 53 HOLD |
|
CWH
Camping World Holdings I… |
STRONG BUY
12 analysts |
$13 | 58 HOLD |