BUR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BUR - Burford Capital Limited
$4.84
0.33 (7.32%)
▲
5d:
-6.2%
30d:
+2.33%
90d:
-47.96%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 16, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BUR is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: BUR is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.54
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.06
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BUR is currently trading at $4.84, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.51 to $5.06. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.1) is in line with its historical norms (5.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.43, while resistance sits at $5.54. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.76 (+80.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.43, while resistance sits at $5.54. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.76 (+80.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$4.51 -
$5.06
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+7.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 80.9% below Wall St target ($8.76)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.2% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.51 -
$5.06
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.44
Resistance Level
$5.54
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.11
Wall Street Target
$8.76
(+80.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-75.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
62.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
6.1 vs 5.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.89
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$4.94
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$4.99
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→6)
PE COMPRESSION
$4.81
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.28
Bull Case
$11.31
(+138%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 20.2
Base Case
$10.28
(+116%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 18.4
Bear Case
$3.50
(-27%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 7:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BUR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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