BXSL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BXSL - Blackstone Secured Lending Fund
$23.76
-0.09 (-0.38%)
▼
5d:
+1.54%
30d:
-1.45%
90d:
+0.98%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BXSL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BXSL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.40
Based on -0.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.91
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BXSL is currently trading at $23.76, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.50 to $24.00. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.2) is in line with its historical norms (8.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BXSL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.14. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BXSL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BXSL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.14. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BXSL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$23.50 -
$24.00
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($24.60)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.9% growth with -9.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.50 -
$24.00
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.15
Resistance Level
$24.26
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.16
Wall Street Target
$24.60
(+3.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-83.5%
Profit Margin
31.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
9.2 vs 8.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.97
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$24.19
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$24.41
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$23.71
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -5.1%)
$48.33
(+103%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.2, Growth: -5.1%)
$20.33
(-14%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.8, Growth: -5.1%)
$17.28
(-27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.91
Bull Case
$36.07
(+52%)
Analyst growth 35.8%, PE expands to 13.9
Base Case
$32.79
(+38%)
Market implied 35.8%, PE stable at 12.6
Bear Case
$16.42
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 15, 2026 11:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BXSL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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