BXSL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BXSL - Blackstone Secured Lending Fund
$23.95
0.17 (0.71%)
▲
5d:
-0.91%
30d:
+1.87%
90d:
-8.8%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
7d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BXSL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BXSL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.96
Based on -0.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.25
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BXSL is currently trading at $23.95, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.42 to $24.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.8) is in line with its historical norms (8.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BXSL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BXSL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.48 (+10.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BXSL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BXSL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.48 (+10.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$23.42 -
$24.38
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($26.48)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.42 -
$24.38
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.33
Resistance Level
$25.03
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 28, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.83
Wall Street Target
$26.48
(+10.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-27.0%
Profit Margin
39.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.8 vs 8.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.90
(0%)
2-Year Target
$23.85
(0%)
3-Year Target
$23.81
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
$24.01
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: -5.9%)
$46.63
(+95%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.8, Growth: -5.9%)
$19.97
(-17%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: -5.9%)
$16.97
(-29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.46
Bull Case
$28.86
(+21%)
Analyst growth 10.3%, PE expands to 10.6
Base Case
$26.23
(+10%)
Market implied 10.3%, PE stable at 9.7
Bear Case
$16.17
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.8 to 8.9
Stabilization Target:
$24.15
(+0.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 29, 2026 9:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:43 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:43 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BXSL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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