CAPL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CAPL - CrossAmerica Partners LP Common units representing limited partner interests
$22.73
0.06 (0.26%)
▲
5d:
+6.61%
30d:
+6.76%
90d:
+0.13%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CAPL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CAPL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.79
Based on -7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.56
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAPL is currently trading at $22.73, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.77 to $21.87. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 26.7) compared to its historical average (50.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 19.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAPL is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $23.13. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CAPL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $20.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAPL is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $23.13. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CAPL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $20.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$20.77 -
$21.87
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 12.0% above Wall St target ($20.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.77 -
$21.87
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.27
Resistance Level
$23.13
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.74
Wall Street Target
$20.00
(-12.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.5%
Profit Margin
1.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-19.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.7 vs 50.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-19.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.46
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$18.41
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$16.57
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→50)
$31.17
(+37%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.7, Growth: -19.8%)
$16.57
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: -19.8%)
$13.66
(-40%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: -19.8%)
$11.61
(-49%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.48
Bull Case
$14.59
(-36%)
Analyst growth -42.6%, PE expands to 17.2
Base Case
$13.27
(-42%)
Market implied -42.6%, PE stable at 15.6
Bear Case
$15.71
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.7 to 50.3
Stabilization Target:
$42.76
(+88.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+88.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 1:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:30 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:30 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CAPL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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