CARR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CARR - Carrier Global Corporation
$59.58
-0.21 (-0.35%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026
5d
Get Alerted When CARR Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CARR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CARR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$75.64
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.97
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CARR is currently trading at $59.58, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.27 to $57.40. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.8) compared to its historical average (18.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CARR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $60.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CARR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.54 (+18.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CARR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $60.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CARR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.54 (+18.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$53.27 -
$57.40
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CARR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($70.54)
- BEARISH: Market expects 3.8% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$53.27 -
$57.40
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$54.62
Resistance Level
$60.04
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.79
Wall Street Target
$70.54
(+18.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
0.5%
Profit Margin
18.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.8% premium
PE vs Historical
20.8 vs 18.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.06
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$64.42
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$66.87
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$59.82
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 10.4%)
$86.22
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.8, Growth: 10.4%)
$80.39
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.7, Growth: 10.4%)
$68.33
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.60
Bull Case
$112.97
(+89%)
Analyst growth 80.0%, PE expands to 39.2
Base Case
$102.70
(+72%)
Market implied 80.0%, PE stable at 35.7
Bear Case
$38.81
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is CARR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2025-09-29
Lisa C. McClain
SELL
2025-09-11
Ro Khanna
SELL
2025-08-26
Top Rated Building Products & Equipment Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Building Products & Equipment by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
BLDR
Builders FirstSource Inc |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$131 | 55 HOLD |
|
JCI
Johnson Controls Interna… |
BUY
23 analysts |
$135 | 61 BUY |
|
TT
Trane Technologies plc |
HOLD
26 analysts |
$479 | 62 BUY |
|
MAS
Masco Corporation |
HOLD
24 analysts |
$75 | 52 HOLD |
|
OC
Owens Corning Inc |
BUY
18 analysts |
$137 | 51 HOLD |
Advanced CARR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CARR price and gamma walls.
