Is CARR stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, CARR is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: CARR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of CARR stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for CARR to be between $56.35 and $62.42. The current price is $54.61.

What is the analyst price target for CARR?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for CARR is $71.85. This implies a potential upside of 32.4% from current levels.

CARR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CARR - Carrier Global Corporation

AIR-COND & WARM AIR HEATG EQUIP & COMM & INDL REFRIG EQUIP

$54.61

0.36 (0.66%) ▲

5d: -6.33%

30d: -15.2%

90d: +1.9%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your CARR Gains

Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: May 07, 2026

Smart Money Distribution

CARR is up 3.3% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $50 2026-06-18 with 22,103 OI. Put ratio: 76% View Scanner →

Strength: 4.3/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CARR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 14.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$92.59

Based on 9.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$57.49

5.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CARR is currently trading at $54.61, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.35 to $62.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.1) compared to its historical average (19.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CARR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $53.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: CARR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $71.85 (+32.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Fair Price Range $56.35 - $62.42

Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 32.4% below Wall St target ($71.85)
CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.3%) - monitor closely

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $56.35 - $62.42

Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $53.77

Resistance Level $60.20

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.08

Wall Street Target $71.85 (+32.4%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -6.0%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -97.8%

Profit Margin 6.8%

Valuation Discount vs History -3.6% cheaper

PE vs Historical 17.1 vs 19.0 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -3.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $52.30 (-4%)

2-Year Target $50.41 (-7%)

3-Year Target $48.60 (-10%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→19) $54.05 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 14.0%) $105.40 (+94%)

Base: (SPY PE: 17.1, Growth: 14.0%) $80.38 (+48%)

Bear: (PE: 14.5, Growth: 14.0%) $68.33 (+26%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 34.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.69

Bull Case $120.04 (+106%)

Analyst growth 87.9%, PE expands to 37.8

Base Case $109.13 (+87%)

Market implied 87.9%, PE stable at 34.4

Bear Case $39.49 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.2

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.1 to 19.0

Stabilization Target: $60.34 (+11.2%)

PE Expansion Potential: +11.2%

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Last updated: March 30, 2026 12:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:17 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Ro Khanna SELL 2026-01-29

Ro Khanna BUY 2026-01-23

Ro Khanna SELL 2026-01-22

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Advanced CARR Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CARR price and gamma walls.

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