CCAP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CCAP - Crescent Capital BDC, Inc. Common stock
$11.12
-0.14 (-1.24%)
▼
5d:
+0.45%
30d:
-7.26%
90d:
-12.99%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CCAP trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CCAP trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.75
Based on 0.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.92
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CCAP is currently trading at $11.12, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.91 to $12.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.5) compared to its historical average (8.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCAP is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.00 (+25.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCAP is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.00 (+25.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$10.91 -
$12.50
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.9% below Wall St target ($14.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.91 -
$12.50
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.01
Resistance Level
$11.74
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.46
Wall Street Target
$14.00
(+25.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-14.9%
Profit Margin
9.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.5 vs 8.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.64
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$10.18
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$9.75
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→9)
$11.11
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -3.7%)
$29.03
(+161%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.5, Growth: -3.7%)
$9.94
(-11%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.3, Growth: -3.7%)
$8.45
(-24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.40
Bull Case
$24.77
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 31.0
Base Case
$22.52
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 28.2
Bear Case
$7.66
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.5 to 8.5
Stabilization Target:
$12.68
(+14.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 15, 2026 10:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CCAP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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