CHT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CHT - CHUNGHWA TELECOM CO., LTD
$44.00
-0.02 (-0.05%)
▼
5d:
-1.76%
30d:
-3.08%
90d:
+3.8%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CHT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CHT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$76.34
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.40
7.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CHT is currently trading at $44.00, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.05 to $45.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 28.1) is in line with its historical norms (26.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $43.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $43.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$44.05 -
$45.67
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($48.08)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$44.05 -
$45.67
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.72
Resistance Level
$45.98
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.06
Wall Street Target
$48.08
(+9.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.2%
Profit Margin
16.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
28.1 vs 26.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$44.70
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$45.42
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$46.15
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→27)
PE COMPRESSION
$44.07
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.1, Growth: 83.6%)
$45.11
(+3%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 83.6%)
$35.01
(-20%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 83.6%)
$29.76
(-32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 28.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.57
Bull Case
$48.36
(+10%)
Analyst growth -0.1%, PE expands to 30.8
Base Case
$43.96
(0%)
Market implied -0.1%, PE stable at 28.0
Bear Case
$29.93
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 11:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CHT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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