CMCM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMCM - Cheetah Mobile Inc. American Depositary Shares, each representing fifty (50) Class A Ordinary Shares
$5.14
-0.15 (-2.84%)
▼
5d:
-3.56%
30d:
-9.82%
90d:
-9.03%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 18, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CMCM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CMCM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.67
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMCM is currently trading at $5.14, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.26 to $5.64. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 3.2) is in line with its historical norms (3.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMCM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.80, while resistance sits at $5.65.
Market Sentiment: CMCM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.37 (+82.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMCM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.80, while resistance sits at $5.65.
Market Sentiment: CMCM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.37 (+82.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$5.26 -
$5.64
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 82.3% below Wall St target ($9.37)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.26 -
$5.64
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.80
Resistance Level
$5.65
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.19
Wall Street Target
$9.37
(+82.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-99.5%
Profit Margin
-22.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
3.2 vs 3.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.01
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$4.89
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$4.76
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 3→3)
$5.07
(-1%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.2 to 3.4
Stabilization Target:
$5.47
(+6.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 1:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMCM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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