CMCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMCO - Columbus McKinnon Corp/NY
$14.28
-0.73 (-4.86%)
▼
5d:
-10.36%
30d:
-4.8%
90d:
-29.76%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 27, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CMCO is down 10.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CMCO is down 10.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.19
Based on -6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.32
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMCO is currently trading at $14.28, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.89 to $16.00. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.3) is in line with its historical norms (8.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMCO is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.50 (+85.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMCO is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.50 (+85.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$14.89 -
$16.00
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 85.6% below Wall St target ($26.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.4% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.89 -
$16.00
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.15
Resistance Level
$16.41
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.35
Wall Street Target
$26.50
(+85.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
50.9%
Profit Margin
0.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
8.4 vs 8.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.32
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$14.37
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$14.41
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.33
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: -16.3%)
$27.52
(+93%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: -16.3%)
$10.41
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: -16.3%)
$8.85
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 10.94 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.31
Bull Case
$17.24
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 11.5
Base Case
$14.28
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 10.9
Bear Case
$10.92
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 2:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:21 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jon Adams
SELL
5185 shares
2026-02-11
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