CMCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMCO - Columbus McKinnon Corp/NY
$13.55
-0.96 (-6.62%)
▼
5d:
-8.32%
30d:
-14.4%
90d:
-5.44%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CMCO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CMCO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.24
Based on -5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.36
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMCO is currently trading at $13.55, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.27 to $15.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.0) is in line with its historical norms (8.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 50.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMCO is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.75 (+82.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMCO is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.75 (+82.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$13.27 -
$15.48
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 82.7% below Wall St target ($24.75)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.3% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.27 -
$15.48
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.62
Resistance Level
$15.22
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.97
Wall Street Target
$24.75
(+82.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
77.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
50.9%
Profit Margin
-19.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.0 vs 8.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.36
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$13.17
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$12.99
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$13.53
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -15.9%)
$27.00
(+99%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.0, Growth: -15.9%)
$9.88
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.8, Growth: -15.9%)
$8.40
(-38%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.0 to 8.3
Stabilization Target:
$14.11
(+4.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 05, 2026 12:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:25 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jon Adams
SELL
5185 shares
2026-02-11
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