CMPR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMPR - Cimpress PLC Ordinary Shares (Ireland)
$82.68
-0.36 (-0.43%)
▼
5d:
+0.39%
30d:
+14.55%
90d:
+5.28%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
CMPR is up 8.7% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $60 2026-05-15 with 5 OI. Put ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 9.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CMPR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CMPR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$160.50
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$99.66
17.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMPR is currently trading at $82.68, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $73.02 to $81.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.6) is in line with its historical norms (18.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMPR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $84.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CMPR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (19th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $97.50 (+17.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMPR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $84.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CMPR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (19th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $97.50 (+17.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$73.02 -
$81.13
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
19th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 19th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($97.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.1% growth with 11.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$73.02 -
$81.13
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$6.37
(7.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$77.80
Resistance Level
$84.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 28, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.56
Wall Street Target
$97.50
(+17.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-17.4%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
18.6 vs 18.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$82.76
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$82.85
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$82.93
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$82.66
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 35.4%)
$227.97
(+176%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.6, Growth: 35.4%)
$205.28
(+148%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.8, Growth: 35.4%)
$174.49
(+111%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 18.69 | Forward EPS (Implied): $4.42
Bull Case
$99.84
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 19.6
Base Case
$82.68
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 18.7
Bear Case
$63.25
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 16.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 28, 2026 11:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMPR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sean Edward Quinn
BUY
4000 shares
2025-11-06
Maarten Wensveen
SELL
22830 shares
2025-11-03
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Advanced CMPR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CMPR price and gamma walls.
