CMT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMT - Core Molding Technologies, Inc.
$23.91
-0.78 (-3.16%)
▼
5d:
-8.04%
30d:
-9.09%
90d:
+24.79%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CMT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CMT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.96
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.54
16.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMT is currently trading at $23.91, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.14 to $27.39. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.0) is in line with its historical norms (11.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $22.39, while resistance sits at $26.84. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.00 (+21.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $22.39, while resistance sits at $26.84. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.00 (+21.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$24.14 -
$27.39
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 21.3% below Wall St target ($29.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.5% growth with -4.7% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.0% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.14 -
$27.39
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.39
Resistance Level
$26.85
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.96
Wall Street Target
$29.00
(+21.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-72.0%
Profit Margin
3.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
12.0 vs 11.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.03
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$24.15
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$24.27
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$23.96
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 86.9%)
$148.97
(+523%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 86.9%)
$80.70
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 86.9%)
$68.59
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.11
Bull Case
$48.94
(+105%)
Analyst growth 80.2%, PE expands to 24.5
Base Case
$44.49
(+86%)
Market implied 80.2%, PE stable at 22.2
Bear Case
$16.79
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 3:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:04 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Eric Palomaki
BUY
400 shares
2026-03-20
Michael James Gayford
BUY
500 shares
2026-03-19
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