CMT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMT - Core Molding Technologies, Inc.
$23.45
-0.16 (-0.68%)
▼
5d:
-1.35%
30d:
+0.56%
90d:
+4.69%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CMT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CMT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.96
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.54
17.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMT is currently trading at $23.45, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.25 to $24.14. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.7) is in line with its historical norms (11.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CMT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.00 (+23.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CMT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.00 (+23.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$23.25 -
$24.14
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.7% below Wall St target ($29.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.25 -
$24.14
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.77
Resistance Level
$25.35
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 29, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.72
Wall Street Target
$29.00
(+23.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-72.0%
Profit Margin
3.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 11.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.40
(0%)
2-Year Target
$23.36
(0%)
3-Year Target
$23.31
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
$23.46
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 86.9%)
$147.02
(+527%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: 86.9%)
$79.14
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 86.9%)
$67.27
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.11
Bull Case
$46.79
(+100%)
Analyst growth 80.2%, PE expands to 23.4
Base Case
$42.54
(+81%)
Market implied 80.2%, PE stable at 21.3
Bear Case
$16.05
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.7 to 11.8
Stabilization Target:
$23.60
(+0.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 9:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:23 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Eric Palomaki
BUY
400 shares
2026-03-20
Michael James Gayford
BUY
500 shares
2026-03-19
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