COCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
COCO - The Vita Coco Company, Inc. Common Stock
$76.44
1.67 (2.23%)
▲
5d:
+12.07%
30d:
+53.52%
90d:
+33.61%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
COCO is up 12.1% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $70 2026-07-17 with 608 OI. Put ratio: 67% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: COCO is 11.7% above its trading range ($68.46). Market expects 6.7% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: COCO is 11.7% above its trading range ($68.46). Market expects 6.7% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$80.65
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$50.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: COCO is currently trading at $76.44, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.14 to $68.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 37.4) compared to its historical average (30.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COCO is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $77.01. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: COCO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COCO is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $77.01. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: COCO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$47.14 -
$68.46
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
44.3%
Protect Your Profits
COCO is technically overbought (RSI 83). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+11.7% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($72.56)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.7% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$47.14 -
$68.46
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.64
Resistance Level
$77.01
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
37.35
Wall Street Target
$72.56
(-5.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
37.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
61.3%
Profit Margin
12.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.7% premium
PE vs Historical
37.4 vs 30.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$81.56
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$87.03
(+14%)
3-Year Target
$92.86
(+22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→31)
PE COMPRESSION
$76.33
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 37.3, Growth: 15.2%)
$116.85
(+53%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 15.2%)
$68.96
(-10%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 15.2%)
$58.61
(-23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 28.82 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.65
Bull Case
$92.30
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 30.3
Base Case
$76.44
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 28.8
Bear Case
$58.48
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 25.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 2:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:55 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is COCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
19
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Martin Roper
SELL
25000 shares
2026-04-16
Kenneth Sadowsky
SELL
3900 shares
2026-04-15
Martin Roper
SELL
25000 shares
2026-04-14
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's COCO price and gamma walls.
