CPAC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CPAC - CEMENTOS PACASMAYO S.A.A.

Cement, Hydraulic
$10.55
0.04 (0.33%) ▲
5d: -1.91%
30d: -1.63%
90d: +0.72%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CPAC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CPAC is currently trading at $10.54, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.57 to $10.77. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 68.2) is in line with its historical norms (69.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 55.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CPAC is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $10.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.90 (+22.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $10.57 - $10.77
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 22.7% below Wall St target ($12.90)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $10.57 - $10.77
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $10.40
Resistance Level $10.75
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of May 18, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 68.25
Wall Street Target $12.90 (+22.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 55.6%
Profit Margin 8.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 68.3 vs 69.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $10.44 (-1%)
2-Year Target $10.36 (-1%)
3-Year Target $10.29 (-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 68→70) $10.49 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 68.2, Growth: 63.8%) $35.47 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 63.8%) $11.47 (+9%)
Bear: (PE: 18.8, Growth: 63.8%) $9.75 (-7%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 17.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.61
Bull Case $5.87 (-44%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 19.2
Base Case $5.33 (-49%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 17.5
Bear Case $7.25 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 68.2 to 69.6
Stabilization Target: $10.72 (+2.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +2.0%
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Last updated: May 18, 2026 2:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:37 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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