CPS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CPS - Cooper-Standard Automotive Inc.

MOTOR VEHICLE PARTS & ACCESSORIES
$28.66
-0.34 (-1.17%) ▼
5d: -3.66%
30d: -19.52%
90d: -12.7%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CPS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -17.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$99.00
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$61.47
53.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CPS is currently trading at $28.66, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.20 to $36.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.4) compared to its historical average (11.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CPS is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $25.50, while resistance sits at $31.21.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $53.88 (+88.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $28.20 - $36.12
Company Quality Score 47/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 88.0% below Wall St target ($53.88)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $28.20 - $36.12
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $25.50
Resistance Level $31.21
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Apr 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 6.43
Wall Street Target $53.88 (+88.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -91.9%
Profit Margin -0.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -17.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 6.4 vs 11.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -17.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $25.79 (-10%)
2-Year Target $23.21 (-19%)
3-Year Target $20.89 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 6→11) $37.06 (+29%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.6, Growth: 68.1%) $309.61 (+980%)
Base: (SPY PE: 6.4, Growth: 68.1%) $96.73 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 5.5, Growth: 68.1%) $82.22 (+187%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.4 to 11.4
Stabilization Target: $50.84 (+77.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +77.4%
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Last updated: April 02, 2026 5:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:01 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
David John Mastrocola BUY 3391 shares 2026-03-13
David John Mastrocola BUY 1494 shares 2026-03-12
David John Mastrocola BUY 2000 shares 2026-03-11

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