CSV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSV - Carriage Services, Inc.
$43.72
0.61 (1.41%)
▲
5d:
-1.97%
30d:
-6.52%
90d:
+0.81%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CSV shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CSV shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.87
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.66
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSV is currently trading at $43.72, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.33 to $49.70. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.6) is in line with its historical norms (12.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSV is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $41.51, while resistance sits at $49.49.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $60.00 (+37.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSV is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $41.51, while resistance sits at $49.49.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $60.00 (+37.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$45.33 -
$49.70
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.2% below Wall St target ($60.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$45.33 -
$49.70
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$41.51
Resistance Level
$49.49
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.62
Wall Street Target
$60.00
(+37.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-37.3%
Profit Margin
10.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 12.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.80
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$41.90
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$41.02
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
$43.77
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 9.0%)
$107.32
(+146%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: 9.0%)
$56.59
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: 9.0%)
$48.10
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.75
Bull Case
$64.87
(+48%)
Analyst growth 36.8%, PE expands to 17.2
Base Case
$58.97
(+35%)
Market implied 36.8%, PE stable at 15.7
Bear Case
$29.31
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.6 to 12.4
Stabilization Target:
$46.65
(+6.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 11:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:43 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:43 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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