CSWC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSWC - Capital Southwest Corp
$23.12
-0.42 (-1.78%)
▼
5d:
-0.69%
30d:
-3.71%
90d:
+8.14%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CSWC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CSWC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.22
Based on -0.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.80
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSWC is currently trading at $23.12, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.12 to $23.69. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.2) is in line with its historical norms (10.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSWC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.98. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CSWC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSWC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.98. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CSWC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$23.12 -
$23.69
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($24.90)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.12 -
$23.69
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.98
Resistance Level
$23.80
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 12, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.15
Wall Street Target
$24.90
(+7.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.7%
Profit Margin
48.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 10.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.21
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$23.31
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$23.40
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$23.06
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -4.9%)
$42.72
(+85%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: -4.9%)
$19.90
(-14%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: -4.9%)
$16.92
(-27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.90
Bull Case
$31.05
(+34%)
Analyst growth 19.9%, PE expands to 13.6
Base Case
$28.23
(+22%)
Market implied 19.9%, PE stable at 12.4
Bear Case
$16.01
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 15, 2026 9:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:28 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSWC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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