CTGO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CTGO - Contango ORE, Inc.
$22.44
-2.27 (-9.19%)
βΌ
5d:
-17.47%
30d:
-6.97%
90d:
-17.92%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
βΈοΈ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CTGO is down 17.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
βΈοΈ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CTGO is down 17.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.71
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.49
28.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CTGO is currently trading at $22.44, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.59 to $25.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.6) compared to its historical average (5.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTGO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $21.36, while resistance sits at $29.52. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.17 (+70.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTGO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $21.36, while resistance sits at $29.52. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.17 (+70.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$21.59 -
$25.46
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-9.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 70.1% below Wall St target ($38.17)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -17.5% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.59 -
$25.46
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.36
Resistance Level
$29.52
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.57
Wall Street Target
$38.17
(+70.1%)
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.6 vs 5.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.32
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$20.25
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$19.24
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5β5)
$22.33
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 378.6%)
$365.97
(+1531%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.6, Growth: 378.6%)
$75.73
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.9, Growth: 378.6%)
$64.37
(+187%)
π‘
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.6 to 5.3
Stabilization Target:
$26.04
(+16.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 7:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CTGO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David Gregory Larimer
SELL
2775 shares
2026-03-19
Michael Aaron Clark
SELL
10075 shares
2026-03-19
Nieuwenhuyse Rick Van
SELL
21621 shares
2026-03-19
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