CVGI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CVGI - Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc.
$3.51
-0.12 (-3.31%)
▼
5d:
-2.23%
30d:
+102.89%
90d:
+134.0%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CVGI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CVGI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CVGI is currently trading at $3.51, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.57 to $3.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 21.3) compared to its historical average (19.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVGI is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $2.92, while resistance sits at $3.92. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: CVGI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (21th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.33 (+23.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVGI is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $2.92, while resistance sits at $3.92. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: CVGI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (21th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.33 (+23.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$1.57 -
$3.36
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
21th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 21th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 23.5% below Wall St target ($4.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$1.57 -
$3.36
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.56
(16.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.92
Resistance Level
$3.92
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.27
Wall Street Target
$4.33
(+23.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.6%
Profit Margin
-3.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.5% premium
PE vs Historical
21.3 vs 19.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.63
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$3.76
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$3.89
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$3.51
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 8:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:51 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CVGI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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