CVI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CVI - CVR ENERGY, INC.
$33.11
-0.73 (-2.16%)
▼
5d:
+1.63%
30d:
+4.65%
90d:
+45.16%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
0d
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1 traders called CVI this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CVI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CVI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.38
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.28
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CVI is currently trading at $33.11, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.96 to $33.90. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 32.0) compared to its historical average (25.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $31.16, while resistance sits at $35.33.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $31.16, while resistance sits at $35.33.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$30.96 -
$33.90
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($31.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.6% growth with 20.3% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.96 -
$33.90
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.16
Resistance Level
$35.33
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.99
Wall Street Target
$31.00
(-6.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-68.1%
Profit Margin
-0.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.6% premium
PE vs Historical
32.0 vs 25.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.63
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$38.33
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$41.25
(+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$33.00
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.0, Growth: 191.8%)
$111.75
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 191.8%)
$76.98
(+133%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 191.8%)
$65.43
(+98%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 6:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CVI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
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BUY
275012 shares
2026-02-24
Carl C Icahn
BUY
244940 shares
2026-02-23
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BUY
263452 shares
2026-02-20
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