CW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CW - Curtiss-Wright Corp.

MISC INDUSTRIAL & COMMERCIAL MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT
$750.84
-0.16 (-0.02%) ▼
5d: +3.65%
30d: +2.58%
90d: +11.89%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CW is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$611.80
Based on 7.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$379.88
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CW is currently trading at $750.84, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $710.64 to $738.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 44.4) is in line with its historical norms (41.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $760.72. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: CW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $710.64 - $738.10
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 58.1%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($756.57)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $710.64 - $738.10
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $705.10
Resistance Level $760.72
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 44.39
Wall Street Target $756.57 (+0.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 13.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 29.1%
Profit Margin 14.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.2% premium
PE vs Historical 44.4 vs 41.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $767.36 (+2%)
2-Year Target $784.24 (+4%)
3-Year Target $801.49 (+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 44→42) PE COMPRESSION $751.06 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 44.4, Growth: 11.4%) $1038.48 (+38%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 11.4%) $515.58 (-31%)
Bear: (PE: 18.7, Growth: 11.4%) $438.24 (-42%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 28.41 | Forward EPS (Implied): $26.43
Bull Case $906.64 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 29.8
Base Case $750.84 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 28.4
Bear Case $574.39 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 25.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 12:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:53 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
18
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gary A Ogilby SELL 252 shares 2026-03-18
Gary A Ogilby SELL 148 shares 2026-03-17
George P Mcdonald SELL 151 shares 2026-03-17

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