DAN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DAN - Dana Incorporated
$32.26
-0.29 (-0.89%)
▼
5d:
-1.29%
30d:
-5.78%
90d:
+35.04%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
29d
Smart Money Accumulation
DAN is down 4.6% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $33 2026-04-17 with 62 OI. Call ratio: 64% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DAN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DAN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.83
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.67
6.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DAN is currently trading at $32.26, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.08 to $34.60. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.9) compared to its historical average (13.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $31.01, while resistance sits at $34.25.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $26.14. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $31.01, while resistance sits at $34.25.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $26.14. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$32.08 -
$34.60
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 19.7% above Wall St target ($26.14)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$32.08 -
$34.60
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.01
Resistance Level
$34.25
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.87
Wall Street Target
$26.14
(-19.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2204.6%
Profit Margin
0.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.2% premium
PE vs Historical
14.9 vs 13.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.92
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$35.34
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$36.83
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$32.44
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 175.8%)
$165.45
(+408%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.9, Growth: 175.8%)
$109.86
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: 175.8%)
$93.38
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (48x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 47.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.44
Bull Case
$46.40
(+42%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 52.7
Base Case
$42.18
(+29%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 47.9
Bear Case
$14.34
(-56%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 40.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 10:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DAN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced DAN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DAN price and gamma walls.
