DAN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DAN - Dana Incorporated
$28.90
-0.10 (-0.34%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 19, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DAN trades at premium valuation expecting 5.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: DAN trades at premium valuation expecting 5.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$48.58
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.17
4.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DAN is currently trading at $28.90, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.26 to $29.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.2) compared to its historical average (11.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $26.59, while resistance sits at $31.73.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $26.59, while resistance sits at $31.73.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$24.26 -
$29.15
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DAN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($26.14)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 5.2% growth expectation is conservative given 2205% recent growth
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.8%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$24.26 -
$29.15
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.59
Resistance Level
$31.73
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.25
Wall Street Target
$26.14
(-9.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2204.6%
Profit Margin
0.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.2% premium
PE vs Historical
13.3 vs 11.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.51
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$32.09
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$33.76
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$29.05
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 175.8%)
$164.71
(+468%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.3, Growth: 175.8%)
$97.87
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 175.8%)
$83.19
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (48x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 47.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.44
Bull Case
$46.40
(+60%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 52.7
Base Case
$42.18
(+45%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 47.9
Bear Case
$14.34
(-51%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 40.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DAN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James D. Kellett
SELL
11728 shares
2025-08-13
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Advanced DAN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DAN price and gamma walls.
