DCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DCO - Ducommun Incorporated
$143.75
-7.84 (-5.17%)
▼
5d:
+4.75%
30d:
+5.23%
90d:
+15.96%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DCO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DCO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$234.75
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$145.76
1.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DCO is currently trading at $143.75, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $136.49 to $145.11. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 27.9) compared to its historical average (24.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DCO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $131.61, while resistance sits at $156.31. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: DCO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DCO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $131.61, while resistance sits at $156.31. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: DCO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$136.49 -
$145.11
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.2%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($146.60)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$136.49 -
$145.11
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$131.61
Resistance Level
$156.32
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.94
Wall Street Target
$146.60
(+2.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
611.1%
Profit Margin
-3.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.0% premium
PE vs Historical
27.9 vs 24.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$149.50
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$155.48
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$161.70
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→25)
PE COMPRESSION
$143.54
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.9, Growth: 22.3%)
$263.23
(+83%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 22.3%)
$207.96
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 22.3%)
$176.76
(+23%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 7:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard A Baldridge
SELL
10440 shares
2026-03-10
Jerry L Redondo
SELL
2000 shares
2025-12-10
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