DCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DCO - Ducommun Incorporated
$186.60
-3.65 (-1.92%)
▼
5d:
+9.5%
30d:
+24.18%
90d:
+47.59%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DCO trades at premium valuation expecting 11.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: DCO trades at premium valuation expecting 11.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$239.15
Based on 13.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$148.49
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DCO is currently trading at $186.60, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $149.51 to $175.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 36.5) compared to its historical average (26.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DCO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $159.37, while resistance sits at $196.63.
Market Sentiment: DCO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DCO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $159.37, while resistance sits at $196.63.
Market Sentiment: DCO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$149.51 -
$175.03
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.6% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($173.80)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 11.7% growth expectation is conservative given 611% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$149.51 -
$175.03
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$159.37
Resistance Level
$196.63
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
36.50
Wall Street Target
$173.80
(-6.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
611.1%
Profit Margin
-3.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+11.7% premium
PE vs Historical
36.5 vs 26.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+11.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$208.43
(+12%)
2-Year Target
$232.82
(+25%)
3-Year Target
$260.06
(+39%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$186.68
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 36.5, Growth: 23.1%)
$348.19
(+87%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 23.1%)
$207.78
(+11%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 23.1%)
$176.61
(-5%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 11:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:25 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard A Baldridge
SELL
10440 shares
2026-03-10
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