DK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DK - Delek US Holdings, Inc.
$43.69
-0.19 (-0.43%)
▼
5d:
-2.26%
30d:
+6.77%
90d:
+32.31%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
0d
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1 traders called DK this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.90
Based on -26.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.28
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DK is currently trading at $43.69, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.73 to $46.24. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 26.9) compared to its historical average (24.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DK is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $43.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $50.00 (+14.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DK is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $43.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $50.00 (+14.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$39.73 -
$46.24
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($50.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$39.73 -
$46.24
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.00
Resistance Level
$49.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.89
Wall Street Target
$50.00
(+14.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1870.0%
Profit Margin
-0.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.5% premium
PE vs Historical
26.9 vs 24.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$45.22
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$46.80
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$48.44
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→24)
PE COMPRESSION
$43.60
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.9, Growth: -56.3%)
$31.85
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: -56.3%)
$26.11
(-40%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: -56.3%)
$22.19
(-49%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 5:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Shlomo Zohar
SELL
7343 shares
2026-03-19
William J Finnerty
SELL
5000 shares
2026-03-18
Denise Clark Mcwatters
SELL
11988 shares
2026-03-13
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