DKL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DKL - DELEK LOGISTICS PARTNERS, LP
$51.62
0.62 (1.22%)
▲
5d:
+1.18%
30d:
+5.76%
90d:
-3.33%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DKL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DKL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.28
Based on -12.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.59
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DKL is currently trading at $51.62, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $49.23 to $52.01. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.0) compared to its historical average (10.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DKL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $49.48, while resistance sits at $54.28.
Market Sentiment: DKL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DKL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $49.48, while resistance sits at $54.28.
Market Sentiment: DKL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$49.23 -
$52.01
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($51.40)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.6% growth with 19.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$49.23 -
$52.01
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$49.48
Resistance Level
$54.28
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.02
Wall Street Target
$51.40
(-0.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-17.6%
Profit Margin
16.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.6% premium
PE vs Historical
13.0 vs 10.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$56.06
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$60.88
(+18%)
3-Year Target
$66.12
(+28%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$51.81
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: -28.3%)
$63.71
(+23%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.0, Growth: -28.3%)
$37.63
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: -28.3%)
$29.49
(-43%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.17
Bull Case
$70.80
(+39%)
Analyst growth 25.1%, PE expands to 17.9
Base Case
$64.36
(+26%)
Market implied 25.1%, PE stable at 16.2
Bear Case
$34.99
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 5:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DKL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Reuven Spiegel
SELL
250 shares
2026-03-04
Reuven Spiegel
SELL
250 shares
2026-02-04
Reuven Spiegel
SELL
250 shares
2026-01-05
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