DNOW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DNOW - DNOW Inc.

OIL & GAS FIELD MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT
$13.09
-0.05 (-0.42%) ▼
5d: -0.34%
30d: +9.5%
90d: -18.88%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DNOW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.63
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.67
10.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DNOW is currently trading at $13.09, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.14 to $13.27. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.1) is in line with its historical norms (13.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DNOW is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.65, while resistance sits at $13.82.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.00 (+21.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $12.14 - $13.27
Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 66.2%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 21.8% below Wall St target ($16.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $12.14 - $13.27
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $12.65
Resistance Level $13.83
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of May 18, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.08
Wall Street Target $16.00 (+21.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 97.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 90.5%
Profit Margin -4.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.7% premium
PE vs Historical 14.1 vs 13.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $13.49 (+3%)
2-Year Target $13.86 (+6%)
3-Year Target $14.23 (+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→13) PE COMPRESSION $13.14 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: 142.4%) $69.52 (+429%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.1, Growth: 142.4%) $44.35 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 12.0, Growth: 142.4%) $37.70 (+187%)
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Last updated: May 18, 2026 2:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:56 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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