DNOW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DNOW - DNOW Inc.
$12.60
-0.20 (-1.56%)
▼
5d:
-6.32%
30d:
-5.26%
90d:
+6.42%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DNOW is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: DNOW is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.23
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.80
8.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DNOW is currently trading at $12.60, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.00 to $13.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.8) compared to its historical average (13.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DNOW is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.25 (+29.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DNOW is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.25 (+29.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$13.00 -
$13.67
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.0% below Wall St target ($16.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.3% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.00 -
$13.67
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.72
Resistance Level
$13.84
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.79
Wall Street Target
$16.25
(+29.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
97.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
90.5%
Profit Margin
-4.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.5% premium
PE vs Historical
14.8 vs 13.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.04
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$13.50
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$13.97
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$12.66
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 163.0%)
$62.63
(+397%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: 163.0%)
$42.52
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: 163.0%)
$36.15
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 2:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DNOW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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