DORM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DORM - Dorman Products, Inc. New
$104.56
-1.91 (-1.79%)
▼
5d:
+2.53%
30d:
-10.29%
90d:
-16.95%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
Get Alerted When DORM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DORM trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DORM trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$174.59
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$108.40
3.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DORM is currently trading at $104.56, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $102.06 to $119.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.3) compared to its historical average (12.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DORM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $98.44, while resistance sits at $109.88.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $153.38 (+46.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DORM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $98.44, while resistance sits at $109.88.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $153.38 (+46.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$102.06 -
$119.61
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 46.7% below Wall St target ($153.38)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$102.06 -
$119.61
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$5.77
(5.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$98.45
Resistance Level
$109.88
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.28
Wall Street Target
$153.38
(+46.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-78.8%
Profit Margin
9.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 12.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$99.85
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$95.36
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$91.07
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$104.14
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 11.8%)
$290.45
(+178%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 11.8%)
$146.27
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 11.8%)
$124.33
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.64
Bull Case
$156.59
(+51%)
Analyst growth 39.6%, PE expands to 16.9
Base Case
$142.35
(+37%)
Market implied 39.6%, PE stable at 15.4
Bear Case
$69.35
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.3 to 12.9
Stabilization Target:
$119.57
(+14.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 8:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:52 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is DORM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Donna M Long
SELL
947 shares
2026-03-12
Donna M Long
SELL
812 shares
2026-01-02
John Mcknight
SELL
2000 shares
2025-12-12
Top Rated Auto Parts Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Auto Parts by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
AZO
AutoZone Inc |
STRONG BUY
29 analysts |
$4225 | 60 HOLD |
|
ORLY
O’Reilly Automotive Inc |
STRONG BUY
28 analysts |
$106 | 62 BUY |
|
MBLY
Mobileye Global Inc. Cla… |
BUY
28 analysts |
$16 | 45 HOLD |
|
APTV
Aptiv PLC |
BUY
22 analysts |
$100 | 58 HOLD |
|
BWA
BorgWarner Inc |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$68 | 57 HOLD |
