DRVN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DRVN - Driven Brands Holdings Inc. Common Stock
$14.47
0.36 (2.55%)
▲
5d:
+6.87%
30d:
+8.88%
90d:
+17.36%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DRVN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: DRVN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.78
Based on 12.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.63
13.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DRVN is currently trading at $14.47, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.87 to $14.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.7) is in line with its historical norms (9.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 444.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DRVN is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.44. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DRVN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.01 (+17.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DRVN is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.44. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DRVN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.01 (+17.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$12.87 -
$14.02
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($17.01)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.87 -
$14.02
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.64
Resistance Level
$14.44
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.74
Wall Street Target
$17.01
(+17.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
444.1%
Profit Margin
9.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.7 vs 9.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.38
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$14.30
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$14.21
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$14.45
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 21.8%)
$58.49
(+304%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: 21.8%)
$26.15
(+81%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.3, Growth: 21.8%)
$22.23
(+54%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.86
Bull Case
$26.82
(+85%)
Analyst growth 72.8%, PE expands to 18.1
Base Case
$24.38
(+69%)
Market implied 72.8%, PE stable at 16.4
Bear Case
$9.59
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.7 to 9.9
Stabilization Target:
$14.71
(+1.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is DRVN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott L O'melia
SELL
46875 shares
2026-01-21
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