ECVT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ECVT - Ecovyst Inc.
$11.83
-0.17 (-1.42%)
▼
5d:
-2.39%
30d:
-10.78%
90d:
-9.83%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ECVT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ECVT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.55
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.73
33.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ECVT is currently trading at $11.83, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.35 to $13.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.4) compared to its historical average (16.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ECVT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ECVT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.75 (+33.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ECVT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ECVT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.75 (+33.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$12.35 -
$13.35
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.1% below Wall St target ($15.75)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.35 -
$13.35
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.63
Resistance Level
$14.01
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.39
Wall Street Target
$15.75
(+33.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
50.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-28.6%
Profit Margin
-8.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.4 vs 16.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.03
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$10.28
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$9.58
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→17)
$11.87
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 33.2%)
$45.43
(+284%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 33.2%)
$27.94
(+136%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.4, Growth: 33.2%)
$23.75
(+101%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 19.34 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.61
Bull Case
$14.28
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 20.3
Base Case
$11.83
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 19.3
Bear Case
$9.05
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 17.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.4 to 16.6
Stabilization Target:
$14.66
(+23.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:05 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is ECVT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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